TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | King City | Stewartsville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 42.1 | 25.0 |
| PA / GAME | 26.5 | 40.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +8.7 | -11.7 |
| SOS | -4.5 | -0.7 |
| POWER | +7.1 | -12.0 |
STEWARTSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Stewartsville finished the job, as King City and Stewartsville finished 44-50. MOFO's pick of King City missed; the model had projected a 43-24 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 19.5-point projection. That produced a 25.5-point margin error, with score errors of 0.8 for King City and 26.3 for Stewartsville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KING CITY
MOFO leans toward King City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 19.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.5-point margin, with King City carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: King City enters at 42.1 points per game compared with 25.0 for Stewartsville. King City also allows 13.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.5 for King City and -0.7 for Stewartsville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01King City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Stewartsville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 19.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.