TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Knox County | St. Paul Lutheran (Concordia) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 39.0 | 36.8 |
| PA / GAME | 21.0 | 34.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +12.7 | +3.1 |
| SOS | -4.6 | +0.5 |
| POWER | +11.1 | +3.3 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD KNOX COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Knox County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.6-point margin, with Knox County carrying a 78% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Knox County enters at 39.0 points per game compared with 36.8 for St. Paul Lutheran (Concordia). Knox County also allows 13.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.6 for Knox County and +0.5 for St. Paul Lutheran (Concordia). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Knox County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Paul Lutheran (Concordia) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.