TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | McCluer North | St. Charles |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 16.9 | 16.6 |
| PA / GAME | 29.9 | 31.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -12.0 | -14.7 |
| SOS | -0.7 | -0.5 |
| POWER | -12.2 | -14.8 |
MCCLUER NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
McCluer North finished the job, as McCluer North and St. Charles finished 43-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 24-23 final.
The actual margin was 37 points versus MOFO's 1.5-point projection. That produced a 35.5-point margin error, with score errors of 18.5 for McCluer North and 16.9 for St. Charles.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MCCLUER NORTH
MOFO leans toward McCluer North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.5-point margin, with McCluer North carrying a 55% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: McCluer North enters at 16.9 points per game compared with 16.6 for St. Charles. McCluer North also allows 1.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.7 for McCluer North and -0.5 for St. Charles. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01McCluer North owns the stronger scoring profile.
02St. Charles has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.