TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lighthouse Sr. High | Springfield Catholic |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 17.5 | 30.2 |
| PA / GAME | 29.5 | 25.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | -13.3 | +5.4 |
| SOS | +1.3 | -4.0 |
| POWER | -12.8 | +4.0 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SPRINGFIELD CATHOLIC
MOFO leans toward Springfield Catholic because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.8-point margin, with Springfield Catholic carrying a 83% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Springfield Catholic enters at 30.2 points per game compared with 17.5 for Lighthouse Sr. High. Springfield Catholic also allows 3.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.0 for Springfield Catholic and +1.3 for Lighthouse Sr. High. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Springfield Catholic owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lighthouse Sr. High has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.