THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MID-BUCHANAN

MOFO leans toward Mid-Buchanan because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.0-point margin, with Mid-Buchanan carrying a 60% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Mid-Buchanan enters at 37.1 points per game compared with 30.3 for South Harrison. South Harrison's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.

Strength of schedule checks in at +0.2 for Mid-Buchanan and -3.4 for South Harrison. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.