TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hazelwood Central | SLUH |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 16.0 | 25.5 |
| PA / GAME | 30.0 | 20.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | -15.9 | +1.6 |
| SOS | -0.0 | +2.2 |
| POWER | -15.9 | +2.3 |
SLUH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
SLUH finished the job, as Hazelwood Central and SLUH finished 2-43. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 16-30 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 13.6-point projection. That produced a 27.4-point margin error, with score errors of 14.2 for Hazelwood Central and 13.2 for SLUH.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SLUH
MOFO leans toward SLUH because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 13.6-point margin, with SLUH carrying a 86% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: SLUH enters at 25.5 points per game compared with 16.0 for Hazelwood Central. SLUH also allows 9.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.2 for SLUH and -0.0 for Hazelwood Central. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01SLUH owns the stronger scoring profile.
02SLUH has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.