TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | East Newton | Seneca |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 20.1 | 37.3 |
| PA / GAME | 31.4 | 22.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -12.2 | +15.9 |
| SOS | +5.0 | +1.6 |
| POWER | -10.5 | +16.4 |
SENECA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Seneca finished the job, as East Newton and Seneca finished 6-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-37 final.
The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 19.1-point projection. That produced a 16.9-point margin error, with score errors of 12.2 for East Newton and 4.7 for Seneca.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD SENECA
MOFO leans toward Seneca because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 26.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 19.1-point margin, with Seneca carrying a 93% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Seneca enters at 37.3 points per game compared with 20.1 for East Newton. Seneca also allows 9.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.6 for Seneca and +5.0 for East Newton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Seneca owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East Newton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 26.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.