TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Putnam County | Scotland County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 34.3 | 24.7 |
| PA / GAME | 16.7 | 30.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +13.5 | -4.5 |
| SOS | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| POWER | +12.9 | -4.8 |
SCOTLAND COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Scotland County finished the job, as Putnam County and Scotland County finished 8-14. MOFO's pick of Putnam County missed; the model had projected a 34-19 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 15.3-point projection. That produced a 21.3-point margin error, with score errors of 26.1 for Putnam County and 4.8 for Scotland County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PUTNAM COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Putnam County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 17.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.3-point margin, with Putnam County carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Putnam County enters at 34.3 points per game compared with 24.7 for Scotland County. Putnam County also allows 13.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.6 for Putnam County and -0.8 for Scotland County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Putnam County owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Scotland County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 17.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.