TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cole Camp | Russellville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.4 | 28.7 |
| PA / GAME | 23.4 | 24.2 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.7 | +4.7 |
| SOS | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| POWER | +2.7 | +4.6 |
RUSSELLVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Russellville finished the job, as Cole Camp and Russellville finished 7-42. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-26 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 1.3-point projection. That produced a 33.7-point margin error, with score errors of 18.0 for Cole Camp and 15.7 for Russellville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD RUSSELLVILLE
MOFO leans toward Russellville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.3-point margin, with Russellville carrying a 54% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Russellville enters at 28.7 points per game compared with 26.4 for Cole Camp. Cole Camp's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.4 for Russellville and -3.0 for Cole Camp. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Russellville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Russellville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.