TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Worth County | Rock Port |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 42.1 | 45.2 |
| PA / GAME | 21.6 | 20.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +13.0 | +17.0 |
| SOS | +1.9 | +0.3 |
| POWER | +13.7 | +17.1 |
ROCK PORT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Rock Port finished the job, as Worth County and Rock Port finished 28-32. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-34 final.
The actual margin was 4 points versus MOFO's 3.1-point projection. That produced a 0.9-point margin error, with score errors of 2.7 for Worth County and 1.8 for Rock Port.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ROCK PORT
MOFO leans toward Rock Port because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.1-point margin, with Rock Port carrying a 60% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Rock Port enters at 45.2 points per game compared with 42.1 for Worth County. Rock Port also allows 1.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.3 for Rock Port and +1.9 for Worth County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Rock Port owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Worth County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.