TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Principia | Riverview Gardens |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 16.0 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 29.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | -14.2 |
| SOS | +0.0 | +1.1 |
| POWER | +0.0 | -13.8 |
RIVERVIEW GARDENS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Riverview Gardens finished the job, as Principia and Riverview Gardens finished 28-66. MOFO's pick of Principia missed; the model had projected a 28-18 final.
The actual margin was 38 points versus MOFO's 10.0-point projection. That produced a 48.0-point margin error, with score errors of 0.5 for Principia and 47.5 for Riverview Gardens.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PRINCIPIA
MOFO leans toward Principia because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 13.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 10.0-point margin, with Principia carrying a 79% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Principia enters at 24.0 points per game compared with 16.0 for Riverview Gardens. Principia also allows 5.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Principia and +1.1 for Riverview Gardens. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Principia owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Riverview Gardens has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 13.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.