TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | East Prairie | Portageville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 18.5 | 27.4 |
| PA / GAME | 35.1 | 22.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -16.4 | +3.6 |
| SOS | -1.6 | -5.6 |
| POWER | -16.9 | +1.7 |
PORTAGEVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Portageville finished the job, as East Prairie and Portageville finished 0-48. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 18-33 final.
The actual margin was 48 points versus MOFO's 14.8-point projection. That produced a 33.2-point margin error, with score errors of 18.5 for East Prairie and 14.8 for Portageville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PORTAGEVILLE
MOFO leans toward Portageville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.8-point margin, with Portageville carrying a 88% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Portageville enters at 27.4 points per game compared with 18.5 for East Prairie. Portageville also allows 12.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -5.6 for Portageville and -1.6 for East Prairie. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Portageville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02East Prairie has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.