TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Windsor | Plattsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 31.3 | 20.6 |
| PA / GAME | 19.6 | 41.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | +9.9 | -21.4 |
| SOS | -7.3 | +2.1 |
| POWER | +7.4 | -20.7 |
PLATTSBURG WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Plattsburg finished the job, as Windsor and Plattsburg finished 12-28. MOFO's pick of Windsor missed; the model had projected a 39-17 final.
The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 22.3-point projection. That produced a 38.3-point margin error, with score errors of 27.5 for Windsor and 10.8 for Plattsburg.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD WINDSOR
MOFO leans toward Windsor because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 28.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 22.3-point margin, with Windsor carrying a 95% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Windsor enters at 31.3 points per game compared with 20.6 for Plattsburg. Windsor also allows 22.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -7.3 for Windsor and +2.1 for Plattsburg. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Windsor owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Plattsburg has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 28.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.