TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Parkway South | Parkway Central |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 17.0 | 14.5 |
| PA / GAME | 30.1 | 34.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -10.3 | -19.8 |
| SOS | -1.4 | +1.6 |
| POWER | -10.8 | -19.2 |
PARKWAY SOUTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Parkway South finished the job, as Parkway South and Parkway Central finished 49-28. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-21 final.
The actual margin was 21 points versus MOFO's 5.2-point projection. That produced a 15.8-point margin error, with score errors of 22.4 for Parkway South and 6.6 for Parkway Central.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARKWAY SOUTH
MOFO leans toward Parkway South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.2-point margin, with Parkway South carrying a 67% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Parkway South enters at 17.0 points per game compared with 14.5 for Parkway Central. Parkway South also allows 4.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.4 for Parkway South and +1.6 for Parkway Central. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Parkway South owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Parkway Central has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.