TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Reeds Spring | Parkview |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 20.8 | 18.7 |
| PA / GAME | 31.4 | 22.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -11.5 | -3.7 |
| SOS | -0.1 | -0.5 |
| POWER | -11.5 | -3.9 |
REEDS SPRING WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Reeds Spring finished the job, as Reeds Spring and Parkview finished 7-6. MOFO's pick of Parkview missed; the model had projected a 21-26 final.
The actual margin was 1 points versus MOFO's 5.3-point projection. That produced a 6.3-point margin error, with score errors of 13.6 for Reeds Spring and 19.9 for Parkview.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PARKVIEW
MOFO leans toward Parkview because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.3-point margin, with Parkview carrying a 67% win probability.
Reeds Spring actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Parkview also allows 9.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.5 for Parkview and -0.1 for Reeds Spring. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Reeds Spring owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Reeds Spring has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 7.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.