TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Midway | Osceola |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 23.1 | 30.0 |
| PA / GAME | 25.6 | 38.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.5 | -7.0 |
| SOS | +2.6 | -1.2 |
| POWER | -3.6 | -7.4 |
MIDWAY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Midway finished the job, as Midway and Osceola finished 65-20. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-27 final.
The actual margin was 45 points versus MOFO's 4.1-point projection. That produced a 40.9-point margin error, with score errors of 33.6 for Midway and 7.3 for Osceola.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MIDWAY
MOFO leans toward Midway because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.1-point margin, with Midway carrying a 63% win probability.
Osceola actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Midway also allows 13.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +2.6 for Midway and -1.2 for Osceola. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Osceola owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Midway has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.