TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Bolivar | Osage |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 20.5 | 29.1 |
| PA / GAME | 25.3 | 21.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | -7.3 | +7.6 |
| SOS | +0.8 | -0.5 |
| POWER | -7.0 | +7.5 |
BOLIVAR WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Bolivar finished the job, as Bolivar and Osage finished 41-6. MOFO's pick of Osage missed; the model had projected a 20-29 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 9.2-point projection. That produced a 44.2-point margin error, with score errors of 21.5 for Bolivar and 22.7 for Osage.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD OSAGE
MOFO leans toward Osage because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 14.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 9.2-point margin, with Osage carrying a 77% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Osage enters at 29.1 points per game compared with 20.5 for Bolivar. Osage also allows 3.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.5 for Osage and +0.8 for Bolivar. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Osage owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Bolivar has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 14.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.