TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cameron | Odessa |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.2 | 30.0 |
| PA / GAME | 24.6 | 22.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.5 | +7.6 |
| SOS | +1.0 | -0.1 |
| POWER | +2.8 | +7.6 |
ODESSA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Odessa finished the job, as Cameron and Odessa finished 12-58. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-28 final.
The actual margin was 46 points versus MOFO's 4.8-point projection. That produced a 41.2-point margin error, with score errors of 11.1 for Cameron and 30.2 for Odessa.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ODESSA
MOFO leans toward Odessa because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.8-point margin, with Odessa carrying a 65% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Odessa enters at 30.0 points per game compared with 25.2 for Cameron. Odessa also allows 2.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -0.1 for Odessa and +1.0 for Cameron. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Odessa owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cameron has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.