TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Gallatin with Tri-County | North Platte |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.0 | 30.8 |
| PA / GAME | 23.7 | 27.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +4.2 | +1.5 |
| SOS | -4.2 | -2.2 |
| POWER | +2.7 | +0.8 |
GALLATIN WITH TRI-COUNTY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Gallatin with Tri-County finished the job, as Gallatin with Tri-County and North Platte finished 20-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 28-27 final.
The actual margin was 6 points versus MOFO's 1.0-point projection. That produced a 5.0-point margin error, with score errors of 8.0 for Gallatin with Tri-County and 13.1 for North Platte.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GALLATIN WITH TRI-COUNTY
MOFO leans toward Gallatin with Tri-County because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.0-point margin, with Gallatin with Tri-County carrying a 53% win probability.
North Platte actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Gallatin with Tri-County also allows 4.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.2 for Gallatin with Tri-County and -2.2 for North Platte. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01North Platte owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North Platte has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.