TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Blue Springs | North Kansas City |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.0 | 33.7 |
| PA / GAME | 21.1 | 25.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.0 | +6.2 |
| SOS | +3.6 | -4.1 |
| POWER | +6.3 | +4.8 |
BLUE SPRINGS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Blue Springs finished the job, as Blue Springs and North Kansas City finished 38-12. MOFO's pick of North Kansas City missed; the model had projected a 25-27 final.
The actual margin was 26 points versus MOFO's 1.7-point projection. That produced a 27.7-point margin error, with score errors of 12.6 for Blue Springs and 15.1 for North Kansas City.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTH KANSAS CITY
MOFO leans toward North Kansas City because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.7-point margin, with North Kansas City carrying a 56% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: North Kansas City enters at 33.7 points per game compared with 25.0 for Blue Springs. Blue Springs's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.1 for North Kansas City and +3.6 for Blue Springs. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01North Kansas City owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Blue Springs has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.