TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Farmington | North County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 34.7 | 22.7 |
| PA / GAME | 25.4 | 25.7 |
| AVG MARGIN | +10.0 | -1.3 |
| SOS | +3.6 | +3.6 |
| POWER | +11.3 | -0.1 |
FARMINGTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Farmington finished the job, as Farmington and North County finished 48-3. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-23 final.
The actual margin was 45 points versus MOFO's 8.6-point projection. That produced a 36.4-point margin error, with score errors of 16.6 for Farmington and 19.8 for North County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FARMINGTON
MOFO leans toward Farmington because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 11.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.6-point margin, with Farmington carrying a 76% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Farmington enters at 34.7 points per game compared with 22.7 for North County. Farmington also allows 0.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +3.6 for Farmington and +3.6 for North County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Farmington owns the stronger scoring profile.
02North County has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 11.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.