TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Copan (OK) | New Heights Christian |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 26.2 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 48.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | -17.8 |
| SOS | +0.0 | -2.4 |
| POWER | +0.0 | -18.6 |
COPAN (OK) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Copan (OK) finished the job, as Copan (OK) and New Heights Christian finished 56-6. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 38-23 final.
The actual margin was 50 points versus MOFO's 15.4-point projection. That produced a 34.6-point margin error, with score errors of 17.6 for Copan (OK) and 17.0 for New Heights Christian.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD COPAN (OK)
MOFO leans toward Copan (OK) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.4-point margin, with Copan (OK) carrying a 89% win probability.
New Heights Christian actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Copan (OK) also allows 24.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Copan (OK) and -2.4 for New Heights Christian. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01New Heights Christian owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Copan (OK) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.