AWAY · CLASS 4Nevada28
AUG 28VSLOW — PRESEASON SWAG
HOME · CLASS 3Mt. Vernon23
MOFO PREDICTION: NEVADA BY 5 · 65% WIN PROBABILITY

TALE OF THE TAPE

METRICNevadaMt. Vernon
Record0-00-0
PF / GAME28.624.9
PA / GAME22.125.3
AVG MARGIN+6.5+0.9
SOS+0.0+0.9
POWER+6.5+1.2
THE READ

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NEVADA

MOFO leans toward Nevada because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.3-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.6-point margin, with Nevada carrying a 65% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Nevada enters at 28.6 points per game compared with 24.9 for Mt. Vernon. Nevada also allows 3.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Nevada and +0.9 for Mt. Vernon. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.

GENERATED FROM MOFO MODEL STATISTICS · MOFO DETERMINISTIC
WHAT SWINGS IT

01Nevada owns the stronger scoring profile.

02Mt. Vernon has faced the tougher schedule.

03A 5.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.