TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Priory | Malden |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 21.4 | 14.7 |
| PA / GAME | 31.4 | 38.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -10.1 | -20.2 |
| SOS | -4.4 | +0.0 |
| POWER | -11.6 | -20.2 |
PRIORY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Priory finished the job, as Priory and Malden finished 38-24. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 31-22 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 8.6-point projection. That produced a 5.4-point margin error, with score errors of 7.2 for Priory and 1.8 for Malden.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD PRIORY
MOFO leans toward Priory because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 8.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.6-point margin, with Priory carrying a 76% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Priory enters at 21.4 points per game compared with 14.7 for Malden. Priory also allows 7.0 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.4 for Priory and +0.0 for Malden. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Priory owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Malden has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 8.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.