LOUISIANA WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Louisiana finished the job, as Grandview (Hillsboro) and Louisiana finished 6-42. MOFO's pick of Grandview (Hillsboro) missed; the model had projected a 31-26 final.

The actual margin was 36 points versus MOFO's 5.5-point projection. That produced a 41.5-point margin error, with score errors of 25.1 for Grandview (Hillsboro) and 16.4 for Louisiana.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD GRANDVIEW (HILLSBORO)

MOFO leans toward Grandview (Hillsboro) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.5-point margin, with Grandview (Hillsboro) carrying a 68% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Grandview (Hillsboro) enters at 29.2 points per game compared with 25.4 for Louisiana. Grandview (Hillsboro) also allows 4.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at -1.2 for Grandview (Hillsboro) and -0.4 for Louisiana. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.