TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | California | Logan-Rogersville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 16.5 | 31.6 |
| PA / GAME | 32.3 | 24.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -14.2 | +6.7 |
| SOS | +3.2 | -3.0 |
| POWER | -13.1 | +5.6 |
LOGAN-ROGERSVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Logan-Rogersville finished the job, as California and Logan-Rogersville finished 14-46. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 19-34 final.
The actual margin was 32 points versus MOFO's 15.4-point projection. That produced a 16.6-point margin error, with score errors of 4.5 for California and 12.1 for Logan-Rogersville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LOGAN-ROGERSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Logan-Rogersville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 15.4-point margin, with Logan-Rogersville carrying a 89% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Logan-Rogersville enters at 31.6 points per game compared with 16.5 for California. Logan-Rogersville also allows 7.8 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -3.0 for Logan-Rogersville and +3.2 for California. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Logan-Rogersville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02California has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.