TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Cuba with Steelville | Linn |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 21.0 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 35.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | -15.5 |
| SOS | +0.0 | -2.5 |
| POWER | +0.0 | -16.4 |
CUBA WITH STEELVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Cuba with Steelville finished the job, as Cuba with Steelville and Linn finished 46-26. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 32-21 final.
The actual margin was 20 points versus MOFO's 11.1-point projection. That produced a 8.9-point margin error, with score errors of 14.2 for Cuba with Steelville and 5.3 for Linn.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CUBA WITH STEELVILLE
MOFO leans toward Cuba with Steelville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 16.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 11.1-point margin, with Cuba with Steelville carrying a 82% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Cuba with Steelville enters at 24.0 points per game compared with 21.0 for Linn. Cuba with Steelville also allows 11.9 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Cuba with Steelville and -2.5 for Linn. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Cuba with Steelville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Cuba with Steelville has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 16.4-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.