TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Scott City with Chaffee | Liberty (Mountain View) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 27.4 | 30.7 |
| PA / GAME | 23.8 | 17.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.5 | +9.4 |
| SOS | -1.7 | +0.0 |
| POWER | -1.1 | +9.4 |
LIBERTY (MOUNTAIN VIEW) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Liberty (Mountain View) finished the job, as Scott City with Chaffee and Liberty (Mountain View) finished 15-50. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 21-28 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 7.2-point projection. That produced a 27.8-point margin error, with score errors of 6.2 for Scott City with Chaffee and 21.6 for Liberty (Mountain View).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIBERTY (MOUNTAIN VIEW)
MOFO leans toward Liberty (Mountain View) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.2-point margin, with Liberty (Mountain View) carrying a 72% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Liberty (Mountain View) enters at 30.7 points per game compared with 27.4 for Scott City with Chaffee. Liberty (Mountain View) also allows 6.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Liberty (Mountain View) and -1.7 for Scott City with Chaffee. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Liberty (Mountain View) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Liberty (Mountain View) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.