TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lone Jack with Kingsville | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 18.3 | 18.1 |
| PA / GAME | 32.5 | 33.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -15.2 | -12.5 |
| SOS | -3.9 | +1.5 |
| POWER | -16.5 | -12.0 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LEXINGTON
MOFO leans toward Lexington because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.7-point margin, with Lexington carrying a 52% win probability.
Lone Jack with Kingsville actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Lone Jack with Kingsville's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.5 for Lexington and -3.9 for Lone Jack with Kingsville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Lone Jack with Kingsville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lexington has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.