LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Lee's Summit North finished the job, as Park Hill South and Lee's Summit North finished 7-27. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 22-28 final.

The actual margin was 20 points versus MOFO's 5.7-point projection. That produced a 14.3-point margin error, with score errors of 15.2 for Park Hill South and 1.0 for Lee's Summit North.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LEE'S SUMMIT NORTH

MOFO leans toward Lee's Summit North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 7.4-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.7-point margin, with Lee's Summit North carrying a 68% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Lee's Summit North enters at 25.8 points per game compared with 20.9 for Park Hill South. Lee's Summit North also allows 3.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +2.4 for Lee's Summit North and +0.8 for Park Hill South. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.