LEE'S SUMMIT WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Lee's Summit finished the job, as Blue Springs South and Lee's Summit finished 17-20. MOFO's pick of Blue Springs South missed; the model had projected a 29-22 final.

The actual margin was 3 points versus MOFO's 7.3-point projection. That produced a 10.3-point margin error, with score errors of 12.0 for Blue Springs South and 1.6 for Lee's Summit.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BLUE SPRINGS SOUTH

MOFO leans toward Blue Springs South because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 9.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.3-point margin, with Blue Springs South carrying a 73% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Blue Springs South enters at 32.0 points per game compared with 27.0 for Lee's Summit. Blue Springs South also allows 5.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +0.9 for Blue Springs South and +4.1 for Lee's Summit. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.