TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | MICDS | Ladue Horton Watkins |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.2 | 22.9 |
| PA / GAME | 21.8 | 23.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | +4.8 | -1.8 |
| SOS | +0.1 | +2.2 |
| POWER | +4.8 | -1.0 |
LADUE HORTON WATKINS WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Ladue Horton Watkins finished the job, as MICDS and Ladue Horton Watkins finished 24-38. MOFO's pick of MICDS missed; the model had projected a 25-22 final.
The actual margin was 14 points versus MOFO's 3.6-point projection. That produced a 17.6-point margin error, with score errors of 1.3 for MICDS and 16.3 for Ladue Horton Watkins.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MICDS
MOFO leans toward MICDS because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 5.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 3.6-point margin, with MICDS carrying a 62% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: MICDS enters at 26.2 points per game compared with 22.9 for Ladue Horton Watkins. MICDS also allows 1.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.1 for MICDS and +2.2 for Ladue Horton Watkins. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01MICDS owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ladue Horton Watkins has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 5.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.