TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Clinton | Knob Noster with Leeton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.9 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 20.7 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +5.4 | +0.0 |
| SOS | -4.7 | +0.0 |
| POWER | +3.8 | +0.0 |
CLINTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Clinton finished the job, as Clinton and Knob Noster with Leeton finished 48-7. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 27-22 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 4.8-point projection. That produced a 36.2-point margin error, with score errors of 21.2 for Clinton and 15.0 for Knob Noster with Leeton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CLINTON
MOFO leans toward Clinton because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 3.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.8-point margin, with Clinton carrying a 65% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Clinton enters at 28.9 points per game compared with 24.0 for Knob Noster with Leeton. Clinton also allows 3.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.7 for Clinton and +0.0 for Knob Noster with Leeton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Clinton owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Knob Noster with Leeton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 3.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.