TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Ft. Zumwalt East | Jacksonville (IL) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 22.1 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 28.1 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | -5.3 | +0.0 |
| SOS | +1.6 | +0.0 |
| POWER | -4.7 | +0.0 |
JACKSONVILLE (IL) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Jacksonville (IL) finished the job, as Ft. Zumwalt East and Jacksonville (IL) finished 24-48. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 23-27 final.
The actual margin was 24 points versus MOFO's 4.0-point projection. That produced a 20.0-point margin error, with score errors of 1.5 for Ft. Zumwalt East and 21.5 for Jacksonville (IL).
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD JACKSONVILLE (IL)
MOFO leans toward Jacksonville (IL) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 4.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 4.0-point margin, with Jacksonville (IL) carrying a 63% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Jacksonville (IL) enters at 24.0 points per game compared with 22.1 for Ft. Zumwalt East. Jacksonville (IL) also allows 4.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.0 for Jacksonville (IL) and +1.6 for Ft. Zumwalt East. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Jacksonville (IL) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ft. Zumwalt East has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 4.7-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.