HILLSBORO WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Hillsboro finished the job, as Kennett and Hillsboro finished 6-48. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 25-26 final.

The actual margin was 42 points versus MOFO's 0.6-point projection. That produced a 41.4-point margin error, with score errors of 19.3 for Kennett and 22.1 for Hillsboro.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD HILLSBORO

MOFO leans toward Hillsboro because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.6-point margin, with Hillsboro carrying a 52% win probability.

Kennett actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Hillsboro also allows 1.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +0.6 for Hillsboro and +0.2 for Kennett. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.