HICKMAN WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Hickman finished the job, as Ft. Zumwalt West and Hickman finished 14-54. MOFO's pick of Ft. Zumwalt West missed; the model had projected a 26-25 final.

The actual margin was 40 points versus MOFO's 0.5-point projection. That produced a 40.5-point margin error, with score errors of 12.0 for Ft. Zumwalt West and 28.5 for Hickman.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FT. ZUMWALT WEST

MOFO leans toward Ft. Zumwalt West because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 0.7-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.5-point margin, with Ft. Zumwalt West carrying a 52% win probability.

Hickman actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Ft. Zumwalt West also allows 2.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +2.2 for Ft. Zumwalt West and -0.9 for Hickman. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.