TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Moberly | Fulton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 25.8 | 22.6 |
| PA / GAME | 25.0 | 31.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +1.3 | -7.5 |
| SOS | +1.3 | -4.5 |
| POWER | +1.8 | -9.0 |
MOBERLY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Moberly finished the job, as Moberly and Fulton finished 41-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 30-22 final.
The actual margin was 41 points versus MOFO's 7.4-point projection. That produced a 33.6-point margin error, with score errors of 11.1 for Moberly and 22.5 for Fulton.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD MOBERLY
MOFO leans toward Moberly because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 7.4-point margin, with Moberly carrying a 73% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Moberly enters at 25.8 points per game compared with 22.6 for Fulton. Moberly also allows 6.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.3 for Moberly and -4.5 for Fulton. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Moberly owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Moberly has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 10.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.