TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Orchard Farm | Ft. Zumwalt South |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 37.4 | 19.2 |
| PA / GAME | 19.9 | 24.3 |
| AVG MARGIN | +15.5 | -7.9 |
| SOS | -2.0 | -1.2 |
| POWER | +14.8 | -8.3 |
ORCHARD FARM WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Orchard Farm finished the job, as Orchard Farm and Ft. Zumwalt South finished 22-14. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 33-17 final.
The actual margin was 8 points versus MOFO's 16.4-point projection. That produced a 8.4-point margin error, with score errors of 11.4 for Orchard Farm and 3.0 for Ft. Zumwalt South.
FT. ZUMWALT SOUTH VS. ORCHARD FARM: A PRESEASON SHOWDOWN
Ft. Zumwalt South, the underdog, faces a Class 5 opponent in Orchard Farm, a Class 4 team with pre-season swagger. The home field is neutral, but the underdog's power gap of 23.1 suggests a favorable matchup. Ft. Zumwalt South has a projected score of 24.3 points, while Orchard Farm is expected to score 19.9. The favorite, Orchard Farm, has a projected margin of 16.4, but the underdog's power of -8.3 and a sample note of
add uncertainty. The game is a tight battle, with the underdog's path likely involving a strong performance and a favorable venue treatment.
01Orchard Farm owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Ft. Zumwalt South has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 23.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.