PATTONVILLE WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Pattonville finished the job, as Pattonville and Ft. Zumwalt North finished 33-13. MOFO's pick of Ft. Zumwalt North missed; the model had projected a 22-30 final.

The actual margin was 20 points versus MOFO's 8.0-point projection. That produced a 28.0-point margin error, with score errors of 11.0 for Pattonville and 17.0 for Ft. Zumwalt North.

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD FT. ZUMWALT NORTH

MOFO leans toward Ft. Zumwalt North because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 10.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 8.0-point margin, with Ft. Zumwalt North carrying a 74% win probability.

The clearest separator is scoring: Ft. Zumwalt North enters at 29.7 points per game compared with 27.7 for Pattonville. Ft. Zumwalt North also allows 9.7 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +1.3 for Ft. Zumwalt North and +3.4 for Pattonville. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.