TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Marshall | Northeast (Kansas City) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.4 | 20.5 |
| PA / GAME | 29.3 | 31.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | -6.4 | -6.9 |
| SOS | +1.6 | -4.5 |
| POWER | -5.9 | -8.5 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD NORTHEAST (KANSAS CITY)
MOFO leans toward Northeast (Kansas City) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.6-point margin, with Northeast (Kansas City) carrying a 52% win probability.
Marshall actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Marshall's defensive numbers are competitive, which is the best statistical path to keeping the game tighter than projected.
Strength of schedule checks in at -4.5 for Northeast (Kansas City) and +1.6 for Marshall. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low.
01Marshall owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Marshall has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.