TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Albany | DeKalb |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 33.6 | 21.2 |
| PA / GAME | 37.9 | 46.1 |
| AVG MARGIN | -0.9 | -20.6 |
| SOS | -2.4 | +0.8 |
| POWER | -1.7 | -20.3 |
ALBANY WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Albany finished the job, as Albany and DeKalb finished 60-0. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 42-28 final.
The actual margin was 60 points versus MOFO's 14.3-point projection. That produced a 45.7-point margin error, with score errors of 18.2 for Albany and 27.6 for DeKalb.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD ALBANY
MOFO leans toward Albany because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.6-point power-rating advantage and projects a 14.3-point margin, with Albany carrying a 87% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Albany enters at 33.6 points per game compared with 21.2 for DeKalb. Albany also allows 8.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.4 for Albany and +0.8 for DeKalb. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Albany owns the stronger scoring profile.
02DeKalb has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.6-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.