TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Lift for Life Academy Charter | De Smet Jesuit |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.7 | 33.1 |
| PA / GAME | 25.1 | 30.6 |
| AVG MARGIN | +3.3 | +3.6 |
| SOS | +6.5 | +4.3 |
| POWER | +5.6 | +5.1 |
DE SMET JESUIT WRITES THE FINAL WORD
De Smet Jesuit finished the job, as Lift for Life Academy Charter and De Smet Jesuit finished 0-20. MOFO's pick of Lift for Life Academy Charter missed; the model had projected a 30-29 final.
The actual margin was 20 points versus MOFO's 0.8-point projection. That produced a 20.8-point margin error, with score errors of 29.8 for Lift for Life Academy Charter and 9.0 for De Smet Jesuit.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD LIFT FOR LIFE ACADEMY CHARTER
MOFO leans toward Lift for Life Academy Charter because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 0.5-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.8-point margin, with Lift for Life Academy Charter carrying a 53% win probability.
De Smet Jesuit actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Lift for Life Academy Charter also allows 5.5 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +6.5 for Lift for Life Academy Charter and +4.3 for De Smet Jesuit. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01De Smet Jesuit owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Lift for Life Academy Charter has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 0.5-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.