TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Bowling Green | Clark County |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.4 | 22.6 |
| PA / GAME | 31.3 | 33.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | -4.3 | -6.9 |
| SOS | +1.2 | +0.6 |
| POWER | -3.9 | -6.7 |
BOWLING GREEN WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Bowling Green finished the job, as Bowling Green and Clark County finished 47-12. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 29-27 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 2.6-point projection. That produced a 32.4-point margin error, with score errors of 17.8 for Bowling Green and 14.6 for Clark County.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BOWLING GREEN
MOFO leans toward Bowling Green because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 2.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 2.6-point margin, with Bowling Green carrying a 59% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Bowling Green enters at 24.4 points per game compared with 22.6 for Clark County. Bowling Green also allows 2.2 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.2 for Bowling Green and +0.6 for Clark County. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Bowling Green owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Bowling Green has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 2.8-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.