TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Staley | Central (St. Joseph) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 23.0 | 26.6 |
| PA / GAME | 26.4 | 28.8 |
| AVG MARGIN | -2.6 | -2.1 |
| SOS | +1.5 | -5.3 |
| POWER | -2.1 | -3.9 |
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD STALEY
MOFO leans toward Staley because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.9-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.0-point margin, with Staley carrying a 50% win probability.
Central (St. Joseph) actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Staley also allows 2.4 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +1.5 for Staley and -5.3 for Central (St. Joseph). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Central (St. Joseph) owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Staley has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.9-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.