SIKESTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD

Sikeston finished the job, as Sikeston and Central (Park Hills) finished 32-7. MOFO's pick of Central (Park Hills) missed; the model had projected a 27-28 final.

The actual margin was 25 points versus MOFO's 0.9-point projection. That produced a 25.9-point margin error, with score errors of 5.2 for Sikeston and 20.7 for Central (Park Hills).

THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CENTRAL (PARK HILLS)

MOFO leans toward Central (Park Hills) because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 0.8-point power-rating advantage and projects a 0.9-point margin, with Central (Park Hills) carrying a 53% win probability.

Sikeston actually owns the stronger raw scoring average, so this pick is driven more by opponent adjustment and the complete power profile than offense alone. Central (Park Hills) also allows 4.3 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.

Strength of schedule checks in at +1.9 for Central (Park Hills) and +2.4 for Sikeston. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.