TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Gosnell (Ark.) | Caruthersville |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 24.0 | 31.5 |
| PA / GAME | 24.0 | 22.4 |
| AVG MARGIN | +0.0 | +6.4 |
| SOS | +0.0 | -1.1 |
| POWER | +0.0 | +6.0 |
GOSNELL (ARK.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Gosnell (Ark.) finished the job, as Gosnell (Ark.) and Caruthersville finished 41-14. MOFO's pick of Caruthersville missed; the model had projected a 23-28 final.
The actual margin was 27 points versus MOFO's 5.8-point projection. That produced a 32.8-point margin error, with score errors of 18.4 for Gosnell (Ark.) and 14.4 for Caruthersville.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CARUTHERSVILLE
MOFO leans toward Caruthersville because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 6.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 5.8-point margin, with Caruthersville carrying a 68% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Caruthersville enters at 31.5 points per game compared with 24.0 for Gosnell (Ark.). Caruthersville also allows 1.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -1.1 for Caruthersville and +0.0 for Gosnell (Ark.). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses current-season results, the confidence remains low — no season data.
01Caruthersville owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Gosnell (Ark.) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 6.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.