TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Concordia | Braymer |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 35.9 | 29.1 |
| PA / GAME | 21.4 | 40.5 |
| AVG MARGIN | +9.2 | -8.8 |
| SOS | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| POWER | +9.4 | -8.7 |
CONCORDIA WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Concordia finished the job, as Concordia and Braymer finished 43-8. MOFO got the winner right; the model had projected a 40-23 final.
The actual margin was 35 points versus MOFO's 17.0-point projection. That produced a 18.0-point margin error, with score errors of 2.8 for Concordia and 15.2 for Braymer.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD CONCORDIA
MOFO leans toward Concordia because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 18.1-point power-rating advantage and projects a 17.0-point margin, with Concordia carrying a 91% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Concordia enters at 35.9 points per game compared with 29.1 for Braymer. Concordia also allows 19.1 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at +0.5 for Concordia and +0.1 for Braymer. Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Concordia owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Concordia has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 18.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.