TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Harrison (Ark.) | Branson |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.0 | 28.8 |
| PA / GAME | 26.5 | 22.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +4.6 | +6.2 |
| SOS | +5.5 | -2.1 |
| POWER | +6.5 | +5.5 |
HARRISON (ARK.) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Harrison (Ark.) finished the job, as Harrison (Ark.) and Branson finished 28-16. MOFO's pick of Branson missed; the model had projected a 26-27 final.
The actual margin was 12 points versus MOFO's 1.7-point projection. That produced a 13.7-point margin error, with score errors of 2.3 for Harrison (Ark.) and 11.4 for Branson.
THE NUMBERS POINT TOWARD BRANSON
MOFO leans toward Branson because the overall profile points in that direction. The model sees a 1.0-point power-rating advantage and projects a 1.7-point margin, with Branson carrying a 56% win probability.
The clearest separator is scoring: Branson enters at 28.8 points per game compared with 28.0 for Harrison (Ark.). Branson also allows 3.6 fewer points per game, giving MOFO an edge on both sides of the ball.
Strength of schedule checks in at -2.1 for Branson and +5.5 for Harrison (Ark.). Venue order is unverified, so no home-field advantage was applied. Because this read uses preseason prior, the confidence remains low — preseason swag.
01Branson owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Harrison (Ark.) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.0-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.