TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Hollister | Berryville (AR) |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 28.0 | 24.0 |
| PA / GAME | 27.8 | 24.0 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.8 | +0.0 |
| SOS | -4.5 | +0.0 |
| POWER | +1.3 | +0.0 |
BERRYVILLE (AR) WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Berryville (AR) finished the job, as Hollister and Berryville (AR) finished 24-40. MOFO's pick of Hollister missed; the model had projected a 26-26 final.
The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 0.2-point projection. That produced a 16.2-point margin error, with score errors of 2.1 for Hollister and 14.2 for Berryville (AR).
HOLLISTER'S EDGE, BERRYVILLE'S CHALLENGE
Hollister, a Class 3 team with a slight power edge, faces a tough road trip. Their projected score is nearly even, but their strong pass-game and consistent performance in sample data give them a slight edge.
Berryville (AR), the underdog, has a 51% chance of winning, but their lack of experience and a weak pass game make their path uncertain. The venue may favor Hollister, but both teams are underdogs in this matchup.
01Hollister owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Berryville (AR) has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 1.3-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.