TALE OF THE TAPE
| METRIC | Van Horn | Benton |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PF / GAME | 26.2 | 19.7 |
| PA / GAME | 23.8 | 29.9 |
| AVG MARGIN | +2.5 | -13.1 |
| SOS | -4.3 | +2.9 |
| POWER | +1.0 | -12.1 |
BENTON WRITES THE FINAL WORD
Benton finished the job, as Van Horn and Benton finished 14-30. MOFO's pick of Van Horn missed; the model had projected a 29-20 final.
The actual margin was 16 points versus MOFO's 8.9-point projection. That produced a 24.9-point margin error, with score errors of 15.3 for Van Horn and 9.6 for Benton.
BENTON'S PRESEASON EDGE VS. VAN HORN
Benton, the underdog, carries a 77% win probability despite a 13.1-point power gap, thanks to its strong preseason performance. The home team's field applied treatment may tip the scales, but Van Horn's 23.8 passing efficiency and 26.2 passing yards offer a solid offensive foundation. With a projected margin of 8.9 points, Benton's defensive strength and prior performance could secure a win, though the game remains tightly contested.
Van Horn's Class 4 status and preseason swag provide a boost, but the home field advantage is limited. Benton's 29.9 passing attempts and 19.7 passing yards suggest a capable offense, though its record remains 0-0. The game's outcome hinges on defensive play and the ability to convert opportunities, making it a thrilling matchup.
01Van Horn owns the stronger scoring profile.
02Benton has faced the tougher schedule.
03A 13.1-point power-rating gap and no home-field adjustment because venue order is unverified shape the final call.